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I’ll unilaterally bet $50 that oil + natural gas + coal will still make up >50% of the global energy mix by 2050.

In 2019, fossil fuels still generated 79% of our power worldwide with a projection to very slowly lose market share [1]

[1] https://earth.org/data_visualization/eo-indexes-global-energ...



I'll take that bet. Here's hoping both of us are around to settle it!


Separate primary energy from useful energy. An ICE car is 20-25% thermally efficient while BEVs are 90%.


> while BEVs are 90%

Only if you ignore the cost and conversion efficiency of generating the electricity.

There aren't any electricity wells out there where it comes out of the ground for the cost of pumping it.


Well, wind turbines have some trouble catching all the wind and solar PV is not 100% efficient either, but it is not like it is going to waste.

That is the alternative, not burning fossil fuels somewhere else.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betz%27s_law




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