I think you're just imagining that the AI takes on the role of an assembly line manager, and the programmers turn into assembly workers doing line/item work.
I dont think this is the case, nor will it be. It is more likely that an ai makes it possible to hire low cost personnel and yet have them be _almost_ as productive as someone skilled (at mediocre tasks, but those do make up the bulk of work in tech imho).
The high skilled personnel will need to compete on this front. Some will relent and give up to become those mediocre task doers. Others will strike out and take risk - perhaps even incorporate AI into their own toolbox - and produce software with higher proficiency as an ISV.
I dont think this is the case, nor will it be. It is more likely that an ai makes it possible to hire low cost personnel and yet have them be _almost_ as productive as someone skilled (at mediocre tasks, but those do make up the bulk of work in tech imho).
The high skilled personnel will need to compete on this front. Some will relent and give up to become those mediocre task doers. Others will strike out and take risk - perhaps even incorporate AI into their own toolbox - and produce software with higher proficiency as an ISV.