Will ChatGPT (and other products like it) find a niche use case for what Google search covers? Yes.
Will it replace Google in the mass market? No. Why? Power. I don't mean how good the product is. I mean the literaly electricity.
There are key metrics that Google doesn't disclose as part of its financials. These include thing slike the RPM (Revenue per Thousand Searches) but it also must include something like the cost of running a thousand searches when you amortize everything involved. All the indexing, the software development and so on. That will get reduced to a certain amount of CPU time and storage.
If I had to guess, I would guess that ChatGPT uses orders of magnitude more CPU power and electricity than the average Google search.
Imagine trying to serve 10-50M+ (just guessing) ChatGPT searches every secondj. What kind of computing infrastructure would that take? How much would it cost? How would you monetize it?
Will it replace Google in the mass market? No. Why? Power. I don't mean how good the product is. I mean the literaly electricity.
There are key metrics that Google doesn't disclose as part of its financials. These include thing slike the RPM (Revenue per Thousand Searches) but it also must include something like the cost of running a thousand searches when you amortize everything involved. All the indexing, the software development and so on. That will get reduced to a certain amount of CPU time and storage.
If I had to guess, I would guess that ChatGPT uses orders of magnitude more CPU power and electricity than the average Google search.
Imagine trying to serve 10-50M+ (just guessing) ChatGPT searches every secondj. What kind of computing infrastructure would that take? How much would it cost? How would you monetize it?