>Unless you’re claiming that AIs will suddenly (and very soon) stop improving
Most technologies level off sharply after bouts of boundless improvements.
In 1968 they thought we'd be flying to the moon by now but instead we're flying across the ocean in planes not that different from the 747 that existed back then.
They sometimes start improving again. In the context of your comment, look how the cost/kg to LEO has suddenly dropped radically. This was mostly due to institutional change that allowed previous non-technological barriers to improvement to be bypassed.
Most technologies level off sharply after bouts of boundless improvements.
In 1968 they thought we'd be flying to the moon by now but instead we're flying across the ocean in planes not that different from the 747 that existed back then.