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You're take basically lines up with Francois Chollet: https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.01547

intelligence is more like polishing a ball smooth than growing the ball to infinity.

For many tasks, it will be smooth enough.



At a certain point the roughness of the ball reaches a size threshold where the imperfections are smaller than the wavelength of light, and the surface takes on a glassy smoothness. Intelligence has similar milestones, almost like phase changes, I think, where capabilities are reached. Maybe it's like a superposition of many small step functions.




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