There are a number of causes for caution here, such as the possibility of publication bias. There could be 100 other statistical tests that the election passes, but who would publish those boring results?
Another problem is how reasonable the null hypotheses are. Should we really expect Iranian vote counts to fit Benford's Law in a fair election, for example? I don't know.
I have no reason to believe the election was fair, but I think any scientific results reported directly in news media without peer review a week after a very controversial election are highly suspect.
Another problem is how reasonable the null hypotheses are. Should we really expect Iranian vote counts to fit Benford's Law in a fair election, for example? I don't know.
I have no reason to believe the election was fair, but I think any scientific results reported directly in news media without peer review a week after a very controversial election are highly suspect.